Numerical modelling, multispecies stock assessment
In MERP I will be building on prototype methods being developed (Thorpe, CEFAS) for using StrathE2E outputs to advise MSFD and OSPAR assessments of the North Sea, and EwE models for the West of Scotland. This approach involves a range of sensitivity analyses to climate and fishing drivers and looks at the whole ecosystem response, not just that of the fish community. We will consider the perspectives of key customers, ICES, OSPAR, and other MSFD actors and extend the newly coupled models to incorporate economic and social outputs.
Selected PublicationsCommunicating complex ecological models to non-scientist end users, S.J. Cartwright et al., Ecological Modellling, 338, 51-59, 2016
Assessing fishery and ecological consequences of alternate management options for multispecies fisheries, R.B. Thorpe, P.J. Dolder, S. Reeves, P. Robinson, and S. Jennings. ICES Journal of Marine Science, DOI 10.1093/icesjms/fsw028, 2016
Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management, K. Hyder et al., Marine Policy, 61, 291-302, 2015
Evaluation and management implications of uncertainty in a multispecies size-structured model of population and community responses to fishing, R.B. Thorpe, W.J.F. LeQuesne, F. Luxford, J. Collie, and S. Jennings, Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6(1), 49-58, 2015